HTML5 and the zenith of a hype-curve

HTML5 is a promising initiative which can do for the web today, what HTML did for the web in it’s early days. That is, provide a common solid foundation, around which, web-based apps and services can be easily and seamlessly developed in an interoperable and machine readable manner. Of course, back when HTML first began to be widely used, there was no such thing as what we imagine today as a “web app”. The idea of today’s web services were still far off. In fact, the landscape has changed so much since even the days of HTML4, that the need for a new common paradigm, or at minimum, some major improvements to existing ones, would seem to be a rather pressing matter.

I am all for HTML5, even if only for the attempt it represents, to bring order to a massive realm of chaos in the rapidly expanding digital information universe. However, one aspect of this new paradigm has irked me since the inception of the term HTML5 into our collective consciousness; the over-the-top hype & rhetoric which has accompanied it’s gradual adoption.

Ah, HTML5…it would seem, the hype surrounding you has begun to reach it’s zenith though. It looks like you are now in the phase of the project where all those really neat ideas you dreamed up during design time simply have to go, and you’re running hard just to make the deadline with core functionality intact.  😉

In any case, here’s a look at some recent statements that have probably just dealt a blow to even some of the most die-hard HTML5 enthusiasts. These statements don’t change what benefits HTML5 offers, but they might have an unwelcome cooling effect on its adoption rate:

Mark Zuckerberg (CEO – Facebook):

When I’m introspective about the last few years, I think the biggest mistake that we made as a company is betting too much on HTML5 as opposed to native…We just never were able to get the quality we wanted…We burned two years. That’s really painful. Probably we will look back saying that is one of the biggest mistakes if not the biggest strategic mistake that we made. (ref.)

 

Renée James (Senior Vice President – Intel)

We all agree it’s been very over-hyped. (ref.)

Only time will tell for sure how HTML5 will or will not impact the web. We cannot forsee how things will play out, and what the future holds. However, when I consider how we can measure the ultimate long-term success of any platform or paradigm, I am reminded of the following verse from the Bible: wisdom is proved right by all her children.